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Delano: In a district that Donald Trump won by almost 20 points and no Democrat has come close to winning in decades, it's undeniable, in my view, that this election is a referendum on the performance of President Trump. Republicans have a 24-seat advantage in the House pending the outcome in Pennsylvania. Democrat Conor Lamb was drawn into the district held by Republican Keith Rothfus, and Republican Rick Saccone's hometown is in the borders of a seat represented by Democrat Mike Doyle. But with the party inclined to support the more pro-Trump candidate, Saccone - who told me over a year ago that he was Trump before Trump - was the obvious favorite. "And I tell you, many of them have a hatred for our country". "They have a hatred for our president", Saccone remarked. "Go out and vote on Tuesday for Rick Saccone", Trump said.

Trump Jr., who delivered a bracing speech for his father on the second night of the Republican National Convention in the summer of 2016, raised his profile and ability to serve as an effective surrogate for his father on the campaign trail.

"I feel that he gets it, while the other person is preoccupied with issues that do not affect a working family", Barnes said of Lamb. Barring a last-minute reversal by the federal courts, Tuesday's election will be the last held under a Pennsylvania congressional map the state Supreme Court invalidated in January.

A new Monmouth University Poll released Monday (a day before the election) shows Lamb pulling away slightly, jumping to a 6 point lead ahead of Saccone, 51 percent to 45 percent. Election tracking outlet FiveThirtyEight gives Lamb a two point edge in the polling average, though the race is within the margin of error. "Get out there and vote". "I've already said ... that I don't support Nancy Pelosi".

THE BLAME GAME: If Republicans lose tonight, they will call Saccone a poor candidate who couldn't fundraise and didn't define himself early enough.

Lamb supports gun rights and tariffs on steel and aluminum.

As to why no Democrat challenged US Rep. Tim Murphy in 2014 and 2016, that's easy. The new map - which gets rid of much of the current 18th district and renames it as the 14th - is expected to be put in place before the November midterms when all House members have to run for re-election.

In a story that analyzes the history of the 18 District as well as both candidates, National Review writer Jay Cost says voters head to the polls in a race that remains a toss-up and a possible Democratic win.

And Kayleigh McEnany, a Republican National Committee spokeswoman, told ABC News that the race was so tight because Democratic challenger Conor Lamb "has essentially run as a Republican". Lamb claims that he is personally opposed to abortion but is supportive of so-called abortion rights. Lamb is a former Marine and former Assistant U.S. Attorney.

While Lamb is depending on union support, Saccone needs support from Trump voters like Judy Wilson. Don't believe it. "The "Saccone is bad candidate" excuse is silly", writes Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report. The Republican had won his party's nomination in an upset, after winning four terms in the state house through low-dollar, grass-roots campaigns. Saccone raised US$918,000 through February 21 compared with US$3.9 million for Lamb, Federal Election Commission reports show. President Donald Trump won the district by about 20 points in 2016.

One of them is in the Pennsylvania district that's holding a special election to fill a seat in Congress. They're throwing everything they can at this race. Trump had appeared at a rally for Saccone over the weekend. 45Committee, a 501 (c)(4) that does not have to disclose its donors, spent over $563,000 supporting Saccone.

When you are running as a Democrat in Donald Trump country, the name Nancy Pelosi is even more toxic than the letters CNN.


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