Regardless, even though this tropical wave will bring a higher chance of rain through the beginning of next week it won't be all that different from the types of storms we have seen recently.
The National Hurricane Center continues to watch two areas in the tropics. Beyond that, there is some general agreement that the system will at least start to recurve over the Central Atlantic, though the ultimate fate of the storm is highly uncertain. The Atlantic Ocean temperature is starting to heat up and fewer strong plumes of dust coming off the western coast of Africa mean conditions are becoming a bit more favorable for tropical development.
The National Hurricane Center is now predicting a 10 percent chance that this tropical wave develops into a tropical depression or tropical storm as it moves away from Tampa Bay toward the central Gulf Coast.
Winds are sustained at 30 miles per hour while the storm is moving west at 12 miles per hour. This wave may wait to develop, and may be able to push fairly far to the west and closer to the Caribbean islands, based on information from several sources, including the Weather Channel, National Hurricane Center and Crown Weather Services.
Looking out to the end of next week, long-range models hint at a continued active period for the Atlantic as easterly waves march off the African coast. There will be significant time to closely monitor the behavior of these tropical weather systems. Strong upper-level winds will keep it from organizing into a tropical system before it arrives in Florida, but it may strengthen once it passes over the state and into the Gulf of Mexico.
Met Éireann, Ireland's national forecaster, do not issue long-range forecasts and therefore can not confirm the possible storm.